昆明7·18暴雨事件的灰色预测与预警等级
Grey prediction and warning level of Kunming 7·18 storm event
云南民族大学学报:自然科学版,2015,24(5):407-411

姜飞 JF

摘要


回顾了2013年昆明7·18暴雨事件及其新闻热点.给出了该事件当时在网上的点击量、评论量和转载量的统计数据,并分析得到网民对该事件的关注度随时间的发展而逐渐减少,关注度最高时是事件刚发生的那一段时间.利用C语言编程计算,给出了该事件点击量、评论量和转载量的灰色预测模型和预测结果.根据预测结果,判断该事件的预警等级为“蓝色”. The Kunming 7·18 storm event and its hot news in 2013 are reviewed.The online amounts of hits,comments and retweets of the event at that time is given.The analysis results show that Internet users’ attention to the event decreased gradually with time and that the highest attention appeared at the time when the event happened justly.The grey prediction models of the amounts of the hits,comments and retweets of the event and the predictions are given by computing with C language programming.The warning level of the event is judged as“blue”according to the prediction results.

参考



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